A leading defence expert has projected that China will  attack India by 2012 to divert the attention of its own people from  "unprecedented" internal dissent, growing unemployment and financial  problems that are threatening the hold of Communists in that country.  "China will launch an attack on India before 2012. There are multiple  reasons for a desperate Beijing to teach India the final lesson, thereby  ensuring Chinese supremacy in Asia in this century," Bharat Verma,  Editor of the Indian Defence Review, has said. 
He said the recession has "shut the Chinese exports  shop", creating an "unprecedented internal social unrest" which in turn,  was severely threatening the grip of the Communists over the society.  Among other reasons for this assessment were rising unemployment, flight  of capital worth billions of dollars, depletion of its foreign exchange  reserves and growing internal dissent, Verma said in an editorial in  the forthcoming issue of the premier defence journal. 
In addition to this, "The growing irrelevance of  Pakistan, their right hand that operates against India on their behest,  is increasing the Chinese nervousness," he said, adding that US  President Barak Obama's Af-Pak policy was primarily Pak-Af policy that  has "intelligently set the thief to catch the thief". 
Verma said Beijing was "already rattled, with its  proxy Pakistan now literally embroiled in a civil war, losing its sheen  against India." "Above all, it is worried over the growing alliance of  India with the US and the West, because the alliance has the potential  to create a technologically superior counterpoise. "All these three  concerns of Chinese Communists are best addressed by waging a war  against pacifist India to achieve multiple strategic objectives," he  said. 
While China "covertly allowed" North Korea to test  underground nuclear explosion and carry out missile trials, it was also  "increasing its naval presence in South China Sea to coerce into  submission those opposing its claim on the Sprately Islands," the  defence expert said. He said it would be "unwise" at this point of time  for a recession-hit China to move against the Western interests,  including Japan. "Therefore, the most attractive option is to attack a  soft target like India and forcibly occupy its territory in the  Northeast," Verma said. 
But India is "least prepared" on ground to face the  Chinese threat, he says and asks a series of questions on how will India  respond to repulse the Chinese game plan or whether Indian leadership  would be able to "take the heat of war". "Is Indian military equipped to  face the two-front wars by Beijing and Islamabad? Is the Indian civil  administration geared to meet the internal security challenges that the  external actors will sponsor simultaneously through their doctrine of  unrestricted warfare? "The answers are an unequivocal 'no'. Pacifist  India is not ready by a long shot either on the internal or the external  front," the defence journal editor says.  
In view of the "imminent threat" posed by China,  "the quickest way to swing out of pacifism to a state of assertion is by  injecting military thinking in the civil administration to build the  sinews. That will enormously increase the deliverables on ground -- from  Lalgarh to Tawang," he says
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